Awards Season Update: Final Golden Globe Predictions

On Sunday evening, the Golden Globe Awards will be handed out. Now, as I’ve said in the past, the Globes don’t mean a whole hell of a lot. They can help, but they can’t really hurt. It’s almost like a bonus to have the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (iffy as they are, as a group) bestow some statues on you. At the same time, missing out on honors from the HFPA pales in comparison to the Guilds. If a Guild gives you a win, it’s huge. If you lose there, it matters. So, consider Sunday night a dress rehearsal, in a way. The bigger fish are yet to be fried.

What should we look for with the Globes? Mainly, it’s to see if they try to anoint one film or spread the love. If it’s the former, The Trial of the Chicago 7 is in a good spot to benefit. At the same time, Mank does have a strong chance to lead or tie for the most wins, as well. It does seem like Netflix may wind up with their first Best Picture prize. from the HFPA. Now, if they go in all sorts of wild directions, you could easily see Borat Subsequent Moviefilm walk away with the most wins. Then, there’s X factors like Promising Young Woman. At the very least, this is easily the most wide open Golden Globe ceremony in recent memory. If nothing else, it adds a little excitement and mystery to Globes weekend!

Here now are my Golden Globe Predictions:

Best Motion Picture – Drama 

Will Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Could Win: Nomadland (or Mank)

Should Win: Promising Young Woman

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy 

Will Win: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Could Win: Hamilton

Should Win: Palm Springs

Best Director – Motion Picture 

Will Win: Chloé Zhao for Nomadland

Could Win: David Fincher for Mank

Should Win: Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama 

Will Win: Carey Mulligan for Promising Young Woman

Could Win: Frances McDormand for Nomadland (or Viola Davis for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)

Should Win: Carey Mulligan

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama 

Will Win: Chadwick Boseman for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Could Win: Anthony Hopkins for The Father

Should Win: Chadwick Boseman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy 

Will Win: Maria Bakalova for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Could Win: Anya Taylor-Joy for Emma.

Should Win: Maria Bakalova

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Will Win: Sacha Baron Cohen for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Could Win: Andy Samberg for Palm Springs (or Lin-Manuel Miranda for Hamilton or Dev Patel for The Personal History of David Copperfield)

Should Win: Andy Samberg

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture 

Will Win: Amanda Seyfried for Mank

Could Win: Glenn Close for Hillbilly Elegy

Should win: Amanda Seyfried

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture 

Will Win: Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah

Could Win: Sacha Baron Cohen for The Trial of the Chicago 7

Should Win: Jared Leto for The Little Things…just kidding. Daniel Kaluuya

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture 

Will Win: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Could Win: Promising Young Woman

Should Win: Promising Young Woman

Best Motion Picture – Animated 

Will Win: Soul

Could Win; Wolfwalkers

Should Win: Onward

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language 

Will Win: Minari

Could Win: Another Round (or The Life Ahead)

Should Win: Another Round

Best Original Score – Motion Picture 

Will Win: Mank

Could Win: Soul (or News of the World)

Should Win: Soul

Best Original Song – Motion Picture 

Will Win: lo Si (Seen) from The Life Ahead

Could Win: Speak Now from One Night in Miami…

Should Win: Hear My Voice from The Trial of the Chicago 7

As a reminder, predictions have been updated, and not just for the Globes and Oscar, either. Yes, in addition to the Academy Awards, we have Film Independent Spirit Award winner predictions, with the same going for SAG, along with initial picks for the Directors Guild and Producers Guild awards. So, be sure to look at those DGA and PGA predictions, as well. Plus, this week’s new addition is Writers Guild winner predictions! Have at it, folks, and as always, we’re not far out from another update…

For easy reference, here are my current Oscar picks:

Best Picture – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Second Spot: Nomadland)

Best Director – Chloe Zhao for Nomadland (Second Spot: David Fincher for Mank)

Best Actor – Chadwick Boseman for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Second Spot: Anthony Hopkins for The Father)

Best Actress – Carey Mulligan for Promising Young Woman (Second Spot: Viola Davis for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom)

Best Supporting Actor – Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah (Second Spot: Sacha Baron Cohen for The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Best Supporting Actress – Glenn Close for Hillbilly Elegy (Second Spot: Maria Bakalova for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)

Best Original Screenplay – Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman (Second Spot: Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Best Adapted Screenplay – Kemp Powers for One Night in Miami… (Second Spot: Chloe Zhao for Nomadland)

Best Animated Feature – Soul (Second Spot: Wolfwalkers)

Best Production Design – Mank (Second Spot: Tenet)

Best Cinematography – Nomadland (Second Spot: Mank)

Best Costume Design – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Second Spot: Emma.)

Best Film Editing – The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Second Spot: Tenet)

Best Makeup & Hairstyling – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Second Spot: Mank)

Best Sound – Sound of Metal (Second Spot: Tenet)

Best Visual Effects – Tenet (Second Spot: The Midnight Sky)

Best Original Score – Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for Soul (Second Spot: James Newton Howard for News of the World)

Best Original Song – Diane Warren – lo Si (Seen) from The Life Ahead (Second Spot: Leslie Odom Jr. and sam Ashworth – Speak Now from One Night in Miami…)

Best Documentary Feature – Dick Johnson is Dead (Second Spot: Crip Camp)

Best International Feature – Another Round (Second Spot: I’m No Longer Here)

Best Animated Short Film – If Anything Happens I Love You (Second Spot: Out)

Best Live Action Short Film – The Human Voice (Second Spot: Two Distant Strangers)

Best Documentary Short Subject – A Love Song for Latasha (Second Spot: Abortion Helpline, This is Lisa)

Stay tuned for an update next week, as well as look out for the Golden Globe Awards on Sunday!