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A Post SAG TV Recap— And Now We Wait (Again)

Well, now we’re in for a long wait. Emmy eligibility ends on May 31st, with the nominations set to be announced on July 22nd. Then, the ceremony won’t air until September. Of course, in between tthe Critics Choice Awards will air on March 13th. But then, that’s pretty much it and now the winners and losers will have to wait and see if someone catches them. 

Since the SAG Awards started handing out trophies in 1995 a curse has formed if you win both a Golden Globe and SAG Award your Emmy chances are cursed. Regardless if a performer is competing in a Drama, Comedy or Limited Series/TV Movie overcoming this curse is difficult and its victims are plenty. Let’s see where we are as we await the new compeitors who’ve sat out the first part of the award season.

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series: Ted Lasso” Apple TV+ (Winner) 

Ted Lasso easily won— it’s the purest definition of an ensemble. However, with delays in filming, season 3 the series may not be airing during Emmy voting which could potentially hurt its chances of a repeat victory. It’s important to keep in mind viewers are now watching season four of previous Emmy and SAG Ensemble champ: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, and past nominees Barry and Atlanta are expected back. There’s also Hacks, which may have been bested by Ted Lasso at the SAG Awards but could easily upset if it builds on its strong first season. 

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series: Jason Sudeikis—“Ted Lasso” (Winner)

Jason Sudeikis, has yet to lose an award in two years which to most should be a good thing but really puts him in a difficult position— while Emmy voters may not be aware of his dominating winning streak they’re probably aware he’s won something by now. No actor has ever swept Globe, SAG and Emmy in back to back years. This leaves the door wide open for previous champ Donald Glover (Atlanta, 2017) and reigning two-time winner Bill Hader (Barry, 2018-2019) or a possible newcomer an opportunity to grab the top prize. 

For Steve Martin and Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building) and Hulu they need to decide who’s lead and who’s supporting. For my two cents I’d put Martin in lead since he plays the more likable character and has more to do throughout the series. Place Short in supporting— he may have a better chance of winning since Lasso is likely to clog the category. While we’re on the subject– Selena Gomez you should go supporting. 

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Comedy Series: Jean Smart—“Hacks” (Winner)

Jean Smart is in a similar situation. However, on a positive note she’s a Critics Choice Award win from making history as the fifth woman to win: Emmy, Golden Globe, SAG, Critics Choice and TCA Awards. Assuming a new season of Hacks will debut during this Emmy cycle she’s vulnerable to a potential newcomer like Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary or returning winner Rachel Brosnahan (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) or a newcomer we haven’t seen. 

Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series: “Succession” HBO (Winner)

After all the Drama— literally, in the end Succession still finished the night with the award that really mattered— Ensemble. Regardless of what else happened it’s still the series to beat. But for how long?

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series: Lee Jung-jae—“Squid Game” (Winner)

For Jeremy Strong (Succession) it’s for the best that he lost as this allows him the opportunity to win back to back Emmys—without overcoming the Golden Globe + SAG Award curse. It’s likely that the talented trio of men (Strong, Brian Cox, and Kieran Culkin) from Succession split the vote. The good news for Lee Jung-jae, his win should insure his place amongst the Emmy nominees. Out there and waiting to strike are Jason Bateman (Ozark) and Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul). Bateman will compete for the last time this year since both halves of Ozark will air this year. And that’s just the competitors we know. This could end up one of the most competitive races of the year.  

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Drama Series: Jung Ho-yeon—“Squid Game” (Winner)

Ho-yeon, is expected to compete in the Drama Supporting Actress race. Now may have gotten past Sarah Snook (Succession) once but the question heading into the Emmys is– can she get past both Snook and two-time reigning champion Jennifer Garner (Ozark). The silver lining for Snook is the same for her onscreen brother– she won’t enter the Emmys having to overcome the curse of  winning the Globe + SAG. For Jennifer Aniston and Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show) it’s going to be hard just getting into the Best Drama Actress lineup. Aniston needed a win if she was going to stand a fighting chance of being more than an Emmy-also ran.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series: Michael Keaton—“Dopesick” (Winner)

Michael Keaton like so many above will now play the wait and see game. Can he be bested? Only time will tell. After giving a socially relevant and heart wrenching speech he may stand a decent chance of picking up that Emmy. The season in long and sometimes memories are short.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series: Kate Winslet—“Mare of Easttown” (Winner)

Kate Winslet made history as the first actress to win the top 3 televised awards Globe, SAG and Emmy for a limited series twice after doing so previously for Mildred Pierce (2011). Margaret Qualley (The Maid), will likely get one last try at the Emmys but who will join her could be the difference between winning and being an also-ran for the third time. 

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Written by @msamandaspears

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