Golden Globe Predictions: The First Domino Falls Tomorrow

Tomorrow, the Golden Globe nominations will be announced. Say what you will about the Hollywood Foreign Press Association and how much or little they mean for Oscar prognostication, but they represent a line in the sand during awards season. If a film or performance hits with the HFPA, it’s a reason to keep pressing on towards the Academy Awards. Globe snubs, on the other hand, don’t quite mean as much, given the lack of crossover between Golden Globe voters and Academy members. In that way, it’s almost a win-win. Still, getting in is better, obviously. So, who and what might be in line for citations by the Golden Globes tomorrow morning?

My Golden Globe predictions can be found here, so consult those, but in broad strokes: we have no way of knowing what the HFPA will do. Some things, like Hamilton being a factor here, where it won’t be with Oscar, is a given. The rest? We’ll find out tomorrow morning. Supposedly, Da 5 Bloods hasn’t played as well to voters here as something like The Trial of the Chicago 7, but it all remains to be seen. Sit tight…

Here are my predictions:

Best Motion Picture – Drama – Da 5 Bloods, Nomadland, One Night in Miami…, Promising Young Woman, and The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Watch out for: The Father, Mank, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, and News of the World)

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Hamilton, On the Rocks, Palm Springs, and The Prom (Watch out for: Emma, The King of Staten Island, and The Personal History of David Copperfield)

Best Director – Motion Picture – David Fincher for Mank, Regina King for One Night in Miami…, Spike Lee for Da 5 Bloods, Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7, and Chloe Zhao for Nomadland (Watch out for: Paul Greengrass for News of the World and Florian Zeller for The Father)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama – Viola Davis for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Vanessa Kirby for Pieces of a Woman, Frances McDormand for Nomadland, Carey Mulligan for Promising Young Woman, and Zendaya for Malcolm & Marie (Watch out for: Andra Day for The United States vs. Billie Holiday, Sidney Flanigan for Never Rarely Sometimes Always, and Sophia Loren for The Life Ahead)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama – Ben Affleck for The Way Back, Riz Ahmed for Sound of Metal, Chadwick Boseman for Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, Anthony Hopkins for The Father, and Delroy Lindo for Da 5 Bloods (Watch out for: Tom Hanks for News of the World, Gary Oldman for Mank, and Steven Yeun for Minari)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy – Maria Bakalova for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Rashida Jones for On the Rocks, Cristin Milioti for Palm Springs, Michelle Pfeiffer for French Exit, and Meryl Streep for The Prom (Watch out for: Joanna Pellman for The Prom, Phillipa Soo for Hamilton, and Anya Taylor-Joy for Emma)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy – Sacha Baron Cohen for Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, Pete Davidson for The King of Staten Island, Leslie Odom Jr. for Hamilton, Dev Patel for The Personal History of David Copperfield, and Andy Samberg for Palm Springs (Watch out for: James Corden for The Prom and Lin-Manuel Miranda for Hamilton)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture – Ellen Burstyn for Pieces of a Woman, Glenn Close for Hillbilly Elegy, Olivia Colman for The Father, Saoirse Ronan for Ammonite, and Amanda Seyfried for Mank (Watch out for: Helena Zengel for News of the World)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture – Sacha Baron Cohen for The Trial of the Chicago 7, Daveed Diggs for Hamilton, Daniel Kaluuya for Judas and the Black Messiah, Bill Murray for On the Rocks, and Paul Raci for Sound of Metal (Watch out for: Kingsley Ben-Adir for One Night in Miami…, Chadwick Boseman for Da 5 Bloods, and Mark Rylance for The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture – Lee Isaac Chung for Minari, Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman, Kemp Powers for One Night in Miami…, Aaron Sorkin for The Trial of the Chicago 7, and Chloe Zhao for Nomadland (Watch out for: Jack Fincher for Mank, Paul Greengrass and Luke Davies for News of the World, and Andy Siara for Palm Springs)

Best Motion Picture – Animated – Onward, Over the Moon, Soul, The Willoughbys, and Wolfwalkers (Watch out for: Trolls World Tour)

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language – Another Round, Collective, The Life Ahead, Minari, and Night of the Kings (Watch out for: I’m No Longer Here)

Best Original Score – Motion Picture – Ludwig Göransson for Tenet, James Newton Howard for News of the World, Emile Mosseri for Minari, Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for Mank, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, and Jon Batiste for Soul (Watch out for: Alexandre Desplat for The Midnight Sky and Daniel Pemberton for The Trial of the Chicago 7)

Best Original Song – Motion Picture – Cathy Ang – Rocket to the Moon from Over the Moon, Larry Groupe, Rod Lurie, and Rita Wilson – Everybody Cries from The Outpost, Leslie Odom Jr. & Sam Ashworth – Speak Now from One Night in Miami…, Taylor Swift – Only the Young from Miss Americana, and Diane Warren – lo Si (Seen) from The Life Ahead (Watch out for: Diane Warren – Free from The One and Only Ivan)

Check out my Golden Globe predictions and stay tuned for the nomination announcement tomorrow!