Joey Magidson
Folks, two weeks ago, I debuted my year in advance Oscar predictions piece. In it, I revealed my initial set of picks in the Best Picture category, while also more or less setting the stage for an unpredictable season. After all, it does seem like there are less overt contenders at the moment than we’ve had in the past. Still, there are films and performances to consider, so consider them we shall. What I didn’t do, however, was include the anything besides Best Picture in my predictions. So, for part two, I’m sharing my initial wave of choices in the rest of the big eight categories. Next time, we’ll debut technical fields, but for now, it’s Best Director, the four Acting fields, and both Screenplay categories…
Today, I’m just doing some very slight tinkering, mainly a thing or two I might have forgotten about or re-ordered, as well as adding the rest of the above the line categories (I may also do Best Animated Feature today). Those tech fields are going to be unpredictable, when I get around to them. Here, I have the same handful of films doing well across the board. That bodes well for a movie like Dune: Part Three, The Odyssey, Project Hail Mary, or Wild Horse Nine, for example. Come January? Who knows? That’s the fun of this, to be sure. So, just keep that in mind.
At some point in April, I’ll add the tech categories in a part three of this initial predictions wave. From there on, I’ll be updating my predictions from time to time. Mostly, it’ll be when it seems appropriate to do so. The next one will be likely after the Cannes Film Festival, though we’ll see. Right now, however, my picks in the early April landscape can be seen, for whatever that’s worth…
Here now are part two of my sure to be wrong Year in Advance predictions for the Academy Awards, fully written out for easy access. Behold:
BEST PICTURE
1. Dune: Part Three
2. The Odyssey
3. Wild Horse Nine
4. Project Hail Mary
5. The Adventures of Cliff Booth
6. Digger
7. The Social Reckoning
8. Saturn Return
9. Tony
10. Disclosure Day
Next in Line: 11. I Play Rocky 12. Josephine 13. The Uprising 14. Being Heumann 15. Paper Tiger 16. Behemoth! 17. Jack of Spades 18. Clarissa 19. All of a Sudden 20. A Place in Hell 21. The Invite 22. Fjord 23. Artificial 24. Wuthering Heights 25. Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew
Also Consider: TBD
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Denis Villeneuve – Dune: Part Three
2. Christopher Nolan – The Odyssey
3. Martin McDonagh – Wild Horse Nine
4. David Fincher – The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5. Alejandro G. Iñárritu – Digger
Next in Line: 6. Steven Spielberg – Disclosure Day 7. Phil Lord and Chris Miller – Project Hail Mary 8. Greg Kwedar – Saturn Return 9. Aaron Sorkin – The Social Reckoning 10. Paul Greengrass – The Uprising
Also Consider: TBD
BEST ACTOR
1. Tom Cruise – Digger
2. John Malkovich – Wild Horse Nine
3. Ryan Gosling – Project Hail Mary
4. Brad Pitt – The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5. Dominic Sessa – Tony
Next in Line: 6. Charles Melton – Saturn Return 7. Matt Damon – The Odyssey 8. Pedro Pascal – Behemoth! 9. Sebastian Stan – Fjord 10. Jeremy Allen White – The Social Reckoning
Also Consider: TBD
BEST ACTRESS
1. Renate Reinsve – Fjord
2. Rachel Brosnahan – Saturn Return
3. Ruth Madeley – Being Heumann
4. Mikey Madison – The Social Reckoning
5. Mason Reeves – Josephine
Next in Line: 6. Scarlett Johansson – Paper Tiger 7. Thomasin McKenzie – The Uprising 8. Sophie Okonedo – Clarissa 9. Sandra Hüller – Rose 10. Virginie Efira – All of a Sudden
Also Consider: TBD
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. John Goodman – Digger
2. Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine
3. Channing Tatum – Josephine
4. Antonio Banderas – Tony
5. Mark Ruffalo – Being Heumann
Next in Line: 6. Jeremy Strong – The Social Reckoning 7. Tom Holland – The Odyssey 8. Colman Domingo – Michael 9. Will Poulter – Saturn Return 10. David Oyelowo – Clarissa
Also Consider: TBD
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Elizabeth Debicki – The Adventures of Cliff Booth
2. Sandra Hüller – Digger (or Project Hail Mary)
3. Mariana Di Girólamo – Wild Horse Nine
4. Emilia Jones – Tony
5. Gemma Chan – Josephine
Next in Line: 6. Michelle Williams – A Place in Hell 7. Anne Hathaway – The Odyssey 8. Lesley Manville – Jack of Spades 9. Alison Oliver – Wuthering Heights 10. Eve Hewson – Disclosure Day
Also Consider: TBD
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Wild Horse Nine
2. Digger
3. Saturn Return
4. Tony
5. Disclosure Day
Next in Line: 6. I Play Rocky 7. Josephine 8. The Uprising 9. Paper Tiger 10. Behemoth!
Also Consider: TBD
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Project Hail Mary
2. The Odyssey
3. Dune: Part Three
4. The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5. The Social Reckoning
Next in Line: 6. Being Heumann 7. Clarissa 8. All of a Sudden 9. The Invite 10. Narnia: The Magician’s Nephew
Also Consider: TBD
Stay tuned for Part Three of my year in advance Oscar predictions later on this month!
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